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Don’t hoard Virus isn’t a hurricane

The novel coronavirus, which causes the Covid-19 respiratory disease, now making the news isn’t a hurricane, or a blizzard, so there’s no reason to hoard water or food in the Rio Grande Valley. The water faucet will still run if a case here surfaces. Still, too many people are doing it, hoarding store items, which interferes with our lives in general. Mothers who need distilled water for their babies can’t get it, etc. Thankfully, the virus hasn’t yet struck the Rio Grande Valley. Will it? My guess would be yes, but I’m not the greatest prognosticator. If someone here does prove positive for the virus, people will panic more. I’m old enough to have seen panic before, and it’s not a pretty sight. It just doesn’t, however, need to be that way. If the death ratio were 50 percent, then, yeah, I’d say, be worried; but with a death ratio of less than 1 percent of those who get infected who are in relatively good health and under the age of 50, the ratio is still less than 1 percent. Which means for those who have trouble with math, that out of 100 infected people, less than 1 will die. When you move into the 50-59-year range, the death ratio is 1.3 percent, according to data released by the World Health Organization (WHO). Still low in relative terms. Out of 100 people, 1.3 are going to die. From 60 to 69, the death ratio is 3.6 percent. Meaning, out of 100 people who get infected, approximately 96 are still going to be alive when they come out on the other side of the disease. Even for those over 80, the odds aren’t that bad: approximately 85 out of the 100 who become infected will live. The problem is, we focus too much, I think, on the death ratio as opposed to the living ratio. Granted, for both those who have died and will die from Covid-19, the whole thing is a tragedy. We still don’t know how this virus came into being. It’s a coronavirus like the SARS and MERS, SARS stands for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome and was first made public in 2003 when it broke out in Southeast Asia. The people who had it, however, showed symptoms, whereas, the coronavirus we’re dealing with now can apparently be passed on to people who show no symptoms (asymptomatic). Also, with SARS, for people over ...

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